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Daily Briefing

The global cost of cancer by 2050, charted


Over the next 30 years, the total cost of cancer worldwide could reach 25.2 trillion international dollars, according to a new study published in JAMA Oncology

Study details and key findings

For the study, researchers from the Heidelberg Institute of Global Health (HIGH) in Germany collected health and economic data on 29 cancers across 204 countries. Then, they modeled the potential economic costs of cancer worldwide from 2020 to 2050.

According to the researchers, cancer patients face higher premiums due to high care costs and they may leave the workforce or spend their savings on treatment — all of which, in addition to impacting patients, affect the economy.  

The researchers found that worldwide cancer costs could reach an accumulated 25.2 trillion international dollars, which is an artificial currency used for economic analyses, over the next 30 years. This total includes healthcare costs, lost labor, and spent savings. Just five cancers accounted for almost half of the total cost: tracheal, bronchus, and lung; colon and rectal; breast; liver; and leukemia.

Although 75% of cancer deaths occur in low- and middle-income countries, over half of the total costs will occur in high-income countries. The United States and China will bear the highest economic burden, partially due to the country's large populations, but also high U.S. healthcare costs. 

Commentary

"People outside the cancer community may be surprised to see the extent of cancer's economic cost,” said André Ilbawi, a technical lead in cancer control at the World Health Organization. But these kinds of studies show that "the economic cost of cancer is undeniable."

In the study, the researchers outlined where countries can invest to mitigate the economic costs of cancer:

  1. Medical research and development to reduce cancer incidence, prevalence, and mortality
  2. Research to identify cost-effective public health interventions
  3. Efforts to strengthen primary care and include cost-effective cancer screening programs in insurance packages
  4. Cancer prevention efforts, such as tobacco taxes or public smoking bans

"Addressing cancer is expensive. But the cost of not addressing cancer is even higher," said Simiao Chen, a health economist at HIGH and the study's lead author. (Taylor, Becker's Hospital Review, 3/7; Kreier, Nature, 3/7; Chen et al., JAMA Oncology, 2/23)


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