The House early Thursday narrowly passed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, a budget bill that includes several healthcare provisions that could significantly impact Medicaid, Medicare, and the Affordable Care Act (ACA).
The bill, which passed 215-214, comes after days of negotiations between Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) and other House Republicans around the ideological spectrum who demanded changes to the bill and refused to support it.
Hours before the vote, Johnson unveiled a series of concessions in an effort to win over different factions within the party, including increasing state and local tax deductions, enacting Medicaid work requirements sooner, and steering more money to reimburse states for immigration enforcement efforts.
Ultimately just two Republicans, Rep. Warren Davidson (R-Ohio) and Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) voted against the bill. Rep. Andy Harris (R-Md.), chair of the conservative House Freedom Caucus, voted "present" rather than voting for or against the bill. Rep. David Schweikert (R-Ariz.) and Rep. Andrew Garbarino (R-N.Y.) didn't show up to vote, but both later said they would have voted in favor.
The bill includes a variety of healthcare-related provisions, including:
Cost estimates for the most recent version of the bill weren't yet available, however, a preliminary analysis of an earlier version of the bill by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated the bill would add roughly $2.3 trillion to the national debt over the next decade and as much as $500 billion in Medicare spending cuts starting as soon as 2026. CBO also estimated the bill's Medicaid work requirements would cause around 10 million Americans to become uninsured.
Now that the bill has passed the House, it will head to the Senate where it is expected to face substantial changes.
Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) and Senate Finance Committee Chair Mike Crapo (R-Idaho) have been working with the House Republicans who drafted the bill but said they still expect to make adjustments.
"When it comes over here, I think [Speaker Johnson] would like to see as little change to the product as possible, because they've cobbled together a delicate balance over there," Thune said. Still, "the Senate will have its imprint on it," Thune added.
Sens. Susan Collins (R-Maine), Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska), and Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) have all expressed concerns about any cuts to Medicaid, with Hawley specifically vowing to oppose any bill that cuts the program.
While the bill is in the Senate, any senator is allowed to invoke the Byrd Rule and challenge a policy provision's pertinence to the budget. It will then be up to the Senate parliamentarian to advise the presiding officer on what provisions are relevant to the budget. Typically, the presiding officer rules in line with the advice given by the parliamentarian. The full Senate would then vote on whether to uphold the presiding officer's ruling.
If the bill clears the Senate, it will be sent back to the House where House members will either pass the bill as is or try to reconcile their differences with the Senate.
Republicans have set a July 4 deadline for both the House and Senate to pass the bill, work out any differences, and get it to President Donald Trump's desk to sign.
(Edmondson et al., New York Times, 5/22; Weixel, The Hill, 5/21; Wilkerson, STAT+ [subscription required], 5/21; Duehren, New York Times, 5/22; Meyer/Vazquez, Washington Post, 5/22; McAuliff, Modern Healthcare, 5/22; Williams et al, KFF, 5/21; Tong, Fierce Healthcare, 5/21)
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